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Introduction
Double Up Blackjack is a blackjack variant that adds a new option -- the player can double his bet and stand. This option is especially valuable on high totals. However, nothing is ever truly free in the casino. In this case the main price to be paid is that if the dealer gets to 16, he stays, and live bets under 21 push. A player 21 still beats a dealer 16. See the rules section for all the details.
As of this writing, the game can be found in casinos of Colorado, Oklahoma, and the UK. In addition, it started a Nevada field trial at Binion's on Aug 1, 2019.
Rules
The rules for Double Up Blackjack have gone through some changes but what you see below I believe to be how it is currently played in the UK (updated Sep. 24, 2017). Currently they hit a soft 17 where previously the dealer stood. Please do not claim that blackjacks pay 3 to 1 per this source, which I firmly claim to be in error.
- Six decks of ordinary 52-card decks are used.
- Cards are scored as in conventional blackjack.
- Conventional blackjack rules, which I assume the reader is familiar with, are followed with the following specifics and exceptions.
- Surrender is not offered.
- Re-splitting is allowed, except aces. I do not know how many times.
- In the UK, the dealer does not take a hole card. However, if the dealer gets a blackjack, the player will only lose his original wager and any other bets he lost due to splitting and then busting. The player will not lose any additional wagers from doubling, splitting (except for busted hands after splitting), or Double Upping.
- In addition to the usual options with two cards, the player may also Double Up. The player also Double Up on two cards after splitting. The player may not Double Up on a blackjack.
- To Double Up, the player will make an additional wager, equal to his original wager, in the designated Double Up circle.
- After splitting aces, the player may only stand or Double Up.
- After all players have acted, the dealer shall hit to a hard or soft 16. One rule variant is that the dealer may hit a soft 17.
- If the dealer gets to 16 (hard or soft), then he will immediately stand. All live bets on the table, except totals of 21, shall push in this event. In other words, it acts like the Push 22 rule in some games, except applies to a dealer total of 16 instead of 22.
- Totals of 21 are an exception to the rule above and win against a dealer 16.
- The Double Up wager shall lose on ties. Please note that this rule applies to the Double Up portion only. The original wager shall still push.
- Winning player blackjacks pay 3 to 2. All other wins pay 1 to 1.
- In addition, there is a side bet called Bonus 16, which pays if the dealer gets a 16-point hand. The full pay table is below. All wins are on a 'to one' basis.
There are two known Bonus 16 pay tables, as follows.
Bonus 16 Pay Tables
| Event | Pay Table 1 | Pay Table 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 16 with 6+ cards | 100 | 100 |
| 16 with 5 cards | 50 | 50 |
| 16 with 4 cards | 10 | 10 |
| 16 with 3 cards | 5 | 5 |
| 16 with 2 cards | 3 | 4 |
Strategy
Following is my strategy when the dealer hits on soft 17.
The following strategy shows the strategy after splitting aces, when the only options are to stand or Double Up.
House Edge
According to the analysis of Charles Mousseau, the house edge under the rule where the dealer hits a soft 17 is 0.32%, which I am in close agreement with.
The effect of the dealer standing on a soft 17 is worth 0.43% the player's way, according to my calculations.
Bonus 16
Cabal 2 expand pet slot. The following table shows my analysis of the Bonus 16 side bet under pay table 1, based on six decks and the dealer hitting a soft 17. The lower right cell shows a house edge of 14.64%.
Bonus 16 Analysis — Pay Table 1
| Event | Pays | Probability | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 with 6+ cards | 100 | 0.000181 | 0.018071 |
| 16 with 5 cards | 50 | 0.001896 | 0.094813 |
| 16 with 4 cards | 10 | 0.012640 | 0.126396 |
| 16 with 3 cards | 5 | 0.048658 | 0.243288 |
| 16 with 2 cards | 3 | 0.076923 | 0.230769 |
| All other | -1 | 0.859703 | -0.859703 |
| Total | 1.000000 | -0.146366 |
The following table shows my analysis of the Bonus 16 side bet under pay table 2, based on six decks and the dealer hitting a soft 17. The lower right cell shows a house edge of 6.94%.
Bonus 16 Analysis — Pay Table 2
| Event | Pays | Probability | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 with 6+ cards | 100 | 0.000181 | 0.018071 |
| 16 with 5 cards | 50 | 0.001896 | 0.094813 |
| 16 with 4 cards | 10 | 0.012640 | 0.126396 |
| 16 with 3 cards | 5 | 0.048658 | 0.243288 |
| 16 with 2 cards | 4 | 0.076923 | 0.307692 |
| All other | -1 | 0.859703 | -0.859703 |
| Total | 1.000000 | -0.069443 |
Acknowledgements
I would like to thank Charlie Patrick and Charles Mousseau for sharing the results of their own analysis with me on this game.
External Links
- UK Casino Tables Games — Official page by the game maker.
- Wizard of Vegas — Discussion about the game in my forum.
Who Has The Advantage at Blackjack?
Blackjack is different from other casino games.Games like craps, roulette and baccarat are games of chance, where each play is an independent event, which is the mathematician's
way of saying that whatever occurs in previous rounds of play has no bearing on the c
For example, with roulette, the house will maintain a constant edge against the player.American roulette wheels have 36 numbers colored red or black, and zero and double zero spots colored green.If the color red has come up ten times in a row on an American wheel, what is the probability of the next spin of the wheel landing on a red number?
Regardless of the previous outcomes, the odds of rolling a red number on the next spin of wheel are 18 chances out of 38 numbers or 47.37%.
Blackjack is unique among casino table games in that the odds change after every hand is played.How well the player does is also dependent on the player's skill at playing his hands and his betting strategy.
Many people believe that it is impossible to win in any casino game and that winning is just a matter of luck.Luck may be a factor in winning or losing in any game of chance; however, blackjack is primarily a game of skill, not chance.
The only advantage the dealer has over the player is that the player must play out his hand before the dealer plays his.If both the player and the dealer bust (go over 21), the dealer will win.Considering that a player will bust on the average about 28% of the time, this advantage is not
insignificant.
The easiest way to assess a dealer's chance of busting is with the information revealed by turning over one of his cards.The following chart shows the dealer's chance of busting depending on his up-card.The chart also shows the player's win/loss rate with each dealer up-card.
The dealer's worst up-cards are 2 through 6, which may be possible stiff hands.The dealer must hit these hands regardless of the value of his hole card, and the probability of busting is high.
On the other hand, if the dealer shows a 7 through Ace as his up-card, the dealer is more likely to have a pat hand — a hand on which he can stand without drawing.
Table Showing Player's Win-Loss Rate With Each Dealer Up-Card
| Dealer Up-card | Player Win-Loss | Dealer Bust Rate |
| 2 | 9.8% | 35.50% |
| 3 | 13.4% | 37.56% |
| 4 | 18.0% | 40.28% |
| 5 | 23.2% | 42.89% |
| 6 | 23.9% | 42.08% |
| 7 | 14.3% | 25.99% |
| 8 | 5.4% | 23.86% |
| 9 | -4.3% | 23.24% |
| 10 | -16.9% | 21.43% |
| Ace | =36.0% | 11.65% |
The Player's Advantages
While the dealer's advantage is formidable, the player has several potential advantages over the dealer:
1.The player will receive a payoff of 3 to 2 on his blackjacks while the dealer will not.The players do not have to pay the dealer 3 to 2 when the dealer has a blackjack (a natural).
2. The player has flexible playing options while the dealer does not.Thus a dealer must hit a stiff hand (a hand totaling 12 through 16) even if he has the players beaten by standing.
3.The player has the option of doubling down so that he can get more money on the table during favorable situations.
4.The player can split pairs, allowing him to improve poor hands or to take advantage of the dealer's potentially weaker hands.
5.The player can take insurance, while this option is not available to the dealer.
6. When offered, the player can surrender a poor hand, forfeiting only one-half of his wager.The dealer never has this option.
As you can see, the house's sole edge arises from the fact that the player must play first.Because of this, if the player breaks, the house wins immediately, even if thedealer would have busted had he been forced to play his ownhand out!It has occurred to more than one player than
mimicking the dealer may be the best way to play.However, if you decided to do this, you would give the house an edge of about 8%.This is the house's initial edge in blackjack.
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So what can you do about this?You will notice that except for the dealer's advantage in acting first, every other rule favors the player.The dealer has no options whatsoever and must follow a fixed set of rules in a robot-like fashion.As a result, the ultimate edge the house has against a
player is dependent upon how well the player exercises his options.
If you can just learn to hit, stand, double down and split pairs properly, you will reduce the house advantage to about 1/2% in a multi-deck shoe game with typical blackjack rules.In many of the Internet games, you can play even with or at an advantage over the casino just by learning proper playing rules!
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